Skip to content

Team Round EV Special EV Total EV EV Bar Fair Bid Auction $ +/- ⚠️
1 Duke (East) $420.74 $4.80 $425.54 $425.54 $451 $-25
1 Arizona (West) $397.64 $5.95 $403.59 $403.59 $440 $-36
1 Michigan (Midwest) $347.86 $4.65 $352.50 $352.50 $416 $-64
1 Florida (South) $269.83 $4.19 $274.02 $274.02 $245 +$29
2 Houston (South) $243.52 $5.89 $249.41 $249.41 $305 $-56
2 Iowa State (Midwest) $225.55 $5.96 $231.51 $231.51 $250 $-18
3 Illinois (South) $188.38 $6.99 $195.36 $195.36 $156 +$39
2 Purdue (West) $180.65 $4.38 $185.02 $185.02 $163 +$22
3 Gonzaga (West) $150.73 $4.72 $155.45 $155.45 $111 +$44
2 UConn (East) $141.16 $3.92 $145.08 $145.08 $160 $-15
4 Alabama (Midwest) $103.10 $5.46 $108.56 $108.56 $51 +$58
3 Michigan State (East) $98.79 $3.50 $102.29 $102.29 $230 $-128
3 Virginia (Midwest) $83.74 $3.46 $87.20 $87.20 $70 +$17
5 St. John's (East) $80.80 $5.79 $86.59 $86.59 $69 +$18
5 Vanderbilt (South) $73.81 $4.74 $78.55 $78.55 $64 +$15
4 Kansas (East) $72.57 $3.84 $76.41 $76.41 $35 +$41
4 Arkansas (West) $73.19 $2.91 $76.09 $76.09 $90 $-14
4 Nebraska (South) $70.81 $2.88 $73.69 $73.69 $56 +$18
5 Wisconsin (West) $65.63 $3.47 $69.10 $69.10 $46 +$23
6 Louisville (East) $51.04 $4.82 $55.86 $55.86 $30 +$26
7 UCLA (East) $32.95 $15.67 $48.63 $48.63 $39 +$10
6 Tennessee (Midwest) $42.33 $4.44 $46.77 $46.77 $40 +$7
11 SMU/Miami Ohio (Midwest) $43.28 $3.21 $46.50 $46.50 $29 +$18
8 Ohio State (East) $31.11 $13.17 $44.28 $44.28 $23 +$21
7 Kentucky (Midwest) $29.04 $12.06 $41.10 $41.10 $26 +$15
11 Texas (West) $34.80 $3.71 $38.51 $38.51 $24 +$15
5 Texas Tech (Midwest) $32.35 $1.72 $34.07 $34.07 $50 $-16
7 Saint Mary's (South) $19.49 $9.36 $28.85 $28.85 $24 +$5
7 Miami (West) $19.26 $8.21 $27.47 $27.47 $30 $-3
8 Georgia (Midwest) $19.32 $7.56 $26.88 $26.88 $24 +$3
15 Furman (East) $2.17 $22.27 $24.44 $24.44 $10 +$14
9 Iowa (South) $15.90 $7.88 $23.78 $23.78 $30 $-6
13 Hofstra (Midwest) $3.39 $18.27 $21.66 $21.66 $15 +$7
9 Utah State (West) $15.29 $6.30 $21.59 $21.59 $22 $-0
6 BYU (West) $19.56 $1.75 $21.31 $21.31 $35 $-14
10 Missouri (West) $12.56 $7.91 $20.47 $20.47 $16 +$4
13 Cal Baptist (East) $2.60 $16.37 $18.98 $18.98 $16 +$3
9 TCU (East) $13.61 $4.94 $18.55 $18.55 $20 $-1
10 Texas A&M (South) $11.19 $6.64 $17.83 $17.83 $12 +$6
8 Clemson (South) $13.85 $3.70 $17.55 $17.55 $20 $-2
9 Saint Louis (Midwest) $11.66 $5.68 $17.34 $17.34 $16 +$1
6 North Carolina (South) $15.70 $1.61 $17.32 $17.32 $15 +$2
8 Villanova (West) $12.69 $3.00 $15.70 $15.70 $15 +$1
14 North Dakota State (East) $1.94 $13.67 $15.61 $15.61 $14 +$2
10 Santa Clara (Midwest) $9.63 $5.90 $15.54 $15.54 $23 $-7
10 UCF (East) $9.55 $5.76 $15.31 $15.31 $11 +$4
11 VCU (South) $11.76 $3.37 $15.14 $15.14 $16 $-1
11 South Florida (East) $11.06 $3.62 $14.68 $14.68 $15 $-0
16 Howard (Midwest) $0.82 $13.36 $14.17 $14.17 $11 +$3
13 Troy (South) $1.96 $11.87 $13.83 $13.83 $12 +$2
13 Hawaii (West) $2.03 $10.51 $12.54 $12.54 $9 +$4
14 Wright State (Midwest) $1.53 $9.93 $11.46 $11.46 $10 +$1
12 Akron (Midwest) $6.98 $3.64 $10.62 $10.62 $15 $-4
15 Idaho (South) $0.64 $9.94 $10.58 $10.58 $8 +$3
12 High Point (West) $6.21 $3.60 $9.82 $9.82 $16 $-6
12 Northern Iowa (East) $5.73 $3.73 $9.45 $9.45 $10 $-1
15 Tennessee State (Midwest) $0.50 $8.82 $9.32 $9.32 $10 $-1
15 Queens (West) $0.53 $8.28 $8.81 $8.81 $11 $-2
14 Kennesaw State (West) $0.90 $7.40 $8.30 $8.30 $7 +$1
16 LIU (West) $0.24 $7.48 $7.73 $7.73 $11 $-3
16 Siena (East) $0.23 $7.41 $7.64 $7.64 $9 $-1
12 McNeese (South) $3.93 $3.62 $7.55 $7.55 $6 +$2
16 Prairie View A&M/Lehigh (South) $0.14 $7.25 $7.39 $7.39 $17 $-10
14 Penn (South) $0.58 $6.45 $7.03 $7.03 $7 +$0

Team Round Probabilities Special Payout EV Totals
R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 NCG Win BLO EVE CIN KIN BUZ Rnd$ Spc$ Total$
(1) Duke 100.0% 99.0% 83.8% 65.0% 49.0% 31.9% 20.1% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $420.74 $4.80 $425.54
(1) Arizona 100.0% 99.0% 89.4% 71.6% 49.7% 29.4% 16.4% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $397.64 $5.95 $403.59
(1) Michigan 100.0% 97.4% 85.1% 64.8% 42.6% 25.1% 13.9% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $347.86 $4.65 $352.50
(1) Florida 100.0% 99.4% 85.4% 60.3% 32.6% 17.1% 8.8% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $269.83 $4.19 $274.02
(2) Houston 100.0% 97.5% 80.7% 50.2% 30.1% 15.4% 7.9% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $243.52 $5.89 $249.41
(2) Iowa State 100.0% 97.9% 77.3% 52.3% 26.9% 13.8% 6.6% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $225.55 $5.96 $231.51
(3) Illinois 100.0% 97.7% 83.3% 40.5% 21.5% 10.5% 5.1% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $188.38 $6.99 $195.36
(2) Purdue 100.0% 97.8% 79.9% 46.4% 20.0% 9.4% 4.2% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $180.65 $4.38 $185.02
(3) Gonzaga 100.0% 96.3% 74.4% 39.0% 16.3% 7.2% 3.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $150.73 $4.72 $155.45
(2) UConn 100.0% 93.0% 69.3% 39.4% 15.0% 6.4% 2.6% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $141.16 $3.92 $145.08
(4) Alabama 100.0% 90.0% 68.5% 23.1% 10.1% 3.9% 1.4% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $103.10 $5.46 $108.56
(3) Michigan State 100.0% 92.7% 57.0% 28.3% 9.1% 3.4% 1.2% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $98.79 $3.50 $102.29
(3) Virginia 100.0% 93.7% 55.1% 20.5% 7.2% 2.6% 0.9% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $83.74 $3.46 $87.20
(5) St. John's 100.0% 81.0% 40.6% 18.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.3% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $80.80 $5.79 $86.59
(5) Vanderbilt 100.0% 82.6% 44.2% 16.9% 6.5% 2.6% 1.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $73.81 $4.74 $78.55
(4) Kansas 100.0% 90.3% 52.0% 13.5% 6.2% 2.2% 0.8% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $72.57 $3.84 $76.41
(4) Arkansas 100.0% 92.3% 57.8% 14.7% 5.8% 1.9% 0.5% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $73.19 $2.91 $76.09
(4) Nebraska 100.0% 92.1% 50.9% 16.5% 5.4% 1.7% 0.6% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $70.81 $2.88 $73.69
(5) Wisconsin 100.0% 78.5% 41.1% 13.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.8% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $65.63 $3.47 $69.10
(6) Louisville 100.0% 66.2% 26.3% 12.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $51.04 $4.82 $55.86
(7) UCLA 100.0% 58.7% 17.9% 7.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $32.95 $15.67 $48.63
(6) Tennessee 100.0% 68.0% 24.3% 8.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $42.33 $4.44 $46.77
(11) SMU/Miami Ohio 100.0% 59.5% 23.4% 10.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.5% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $43.28 $3.21 $46.50
(8) Ohio State 100.0% 58.7% 11.8% 5.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.4% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $31.11 $13.17 $44.28
(7) Kentucky 100.0% 57.6% 13.5% 6.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $29.04 $12.06 $41.10
(11) Texas 100.0% 76.5% 18.4% 7.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $34.80 $3.71 $38.51
(5) Texas Tech 100.0% 69.9% 22.7% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $32.35 $1.72 $34.07
(7) Saint Mary's 100.0% 48.6% 10.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $19.49 $9.36 $28.85
(7) Miami 100.0% 49.3% 10.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $19.26 $8.21 $27.47
(8) Georgia 100.0% 52.9% 8.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $19.32 $7.56 $26.88
(15) Furman 100.0% 7.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $2.17 $22.27 $24.44
(9) Iowa 100.0% 41.9% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $15.90 $7.88 $23.78
(13) Hofstra 100.0% 10.0% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $3.39 $18.27 $21.66
(9) Utah State 100.0% 50.4% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $15.29 $6.30 $21.59
(6) BYU 100.0% 54.2% 11.6% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $19.56 $1.75 $21.31
(10) Missouri 100.0% 32.7% 7.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $12.56 $7.91 $20.47
(13) Cal Baptist 100.0% 9.7% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $2.60 $16.37 $18.98
(9) TCU 100.0% 41.3% 5.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $13.61 $4.94 $18.55
(10) Texas A&M 100.0% 32.5% 6.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $11.19 $6.64 $17.83
(8) Clemson 100.0% 42.7% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $13.85 $3.70 $17.55
(9) Saint Louis 100.0% 35.2% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $11.66 $5.68 $17.34
(6) North Carolina 100.0% 49.4% 7.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $15.70 $1.61 $17.32
(8) Villanova 100.0% 42.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $12.69 $3.00 $15.70
(14) North Dakota State 100.0% 7.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.94 $13.67 $15.61
(10) Santa Clara 100.0% 26.2% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $9.63 $5.90 $15.54
(10) UCF 100.0% 28.6% 5.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $9.55 $5.76 $15.31
(11) VCU 100.0% 36.6% 6.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $11.76 $3.37 $15.14
(11) South Florida 100.0% 24.9% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $11.06 $3.62 $14.68
(16) Howard 100.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.82 $13.36 $14.17
(13) Troy 100.0% 7.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.96 $11.87 $13.83
(13) Hawaii 100.0% 7.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $2.03 $10.51 $12.54
(14) Wright State 100.0% 6.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.53 $9.93 $11.46
(12) Akron 100.0% 23.2% 4.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $6.98 $3.64 $10.62
(15) Idaho 100.0% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.64 $9.94 $10.58
(12) High Point 100.0% 19.8% 4.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $6.21 $3.60 $9.82
(12) Northern Iowa 100.0% 17.0% 3.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $5.73 $3.73 $9.45
(15) Tennessee State 100.0% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.50 $8.82 $9.32
(15) Queens 100.0% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.53 $8.28 $8.81
(14) Kennesaw State 100.0% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.90 $7.40 $8.30
(16) LIU 100.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.24 $7.48 $7.73
(16) Siena 100.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.23 $7.41 $7.64
(12) McNeese 100.0% 11.7% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $3.93 $3.62 $7.55
(16) Prairie View A&M/Lehigh 100.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.14 $7.25 $7.39
(14) Penn 100.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.58 $6.45 $7.03

Team Source R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 NCG Win
1Arizona (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 99.0% 89.0% 69.3% 44.8% 26.1% 14.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 99.0% 89.9% 74.0% 54.5% 32.7% 18.8%
vegas 100.0% 94.2% 87.5% 73.3% 54.5% 35.7% 20.4%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 99.0% 89.4% 71.6% 49.7% 29.4% 16.4%
1Duke (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 99.0% 91.7% 74.8% 57.1% 37.9% 24.4%
nate_silver 100.0% 99.0% 75.9% 55.2% 40.9% 25.8% 15.8%
vegas 100.0% 93.3% 85.7% 71.8% 57.4% 41.7% 25.0%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 99.0% 83.8% 65.0% 49.0% 31.9% 20.1%
1Florida (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 99.6% 85.7% 60.2% 31.4% 15.3% 7.7%
nate_silver 100.0% 99.1% 85.0% 60.4% 33.7% 19.0% 10.0%
vegas 100.0% 91.4% 81.8% 61.5% 37.7% 22.2% 11.8%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 99.4% 85.4% 60.3% 32.6% 17.1% 8.8%
1Michigan (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 99.3% 89.8% 68.5% 46.1% 27.9% 15.3%
nate_silver 100.0% 95.5% 80.3% 61.1% 39.1% 22.3% 12.4%
vegas 100.0% 95.4% 90.0% 79.2% 56.5% 39.2% 21.7%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 97.4% 85.1% 64.8% 42.6% 25.1% 13.9%
2Houston (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 98.2% 86.4% 54.1% 33.3% 17.3% 9.4%
nate_silver 100.0% 96.7% 75.1% 46.4% 26.9% 13.5% 6.3%
vegas 100.0% 99.5% 98.9% 73.7% 47.6% 17.4% 9.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 97.5% 80.7% 50.2% 30.1% 15.4% 7.9%
2Iowa State (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 98.4% 81.7% 54.5% 26.5% 13.4% 6.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 97.4% 73.0% 50.1% 27.4% 14.2% 7.3%
vegas 100.0% 99.4% 98.8% 80.0% 56.5% 12.5% 6.2%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 97.9% 77.3% 52.3% 26.9% 13.8% 6.6%
2Purdue (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 97.8% 84.9% 46.7% 22.0% 10.2% 4.3%
nate_silver 100.0% 97.8% 74.9% 46.2% 17.9% 8.7% 4.1%
vegas 100.0% 99.4% 98.8% 76.7% 48.8% 10.0% 3.8%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 97.8% 79.9% 46.4% 20.0% 9.4% 4.2%
2UConn (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 96.4% 78.2% 42.6% 14.8% 6.2% 2.4%
nate_silver 100.0% 89.5% 60.3% 36.3% 15.2% 6.6% 2.8%
vegas 100.0% 99.4% 98.8% 66.7% 14.3% 7.1% 3.8%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 93.0% 69.3% 39.4% 15.0% 6.4% 2.6%
3Gonzaga (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 95.6% 76.2% 41.2% 19.3% 8.9% 3.7%
nate_silver 100.0% 97.0% 72.6% 36.8% 13.3% 5.4% 2.3%
vegas 100.0% 99.1% 98.0% 40.8% 16.7% 5.3% 2.4%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 96.3% 74.4% 39.0% 16.3% 7.2% 3.0%
3Illinois (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 97.3% 83.6% 38.5% 20.7% 9.1% 4.2%
nate_silver 100.0% 98.1% 82.9% 42.5% 22.3% 11.8% 5.9%
vegas 100.0% 99.6% 99.0% 80.0% 45.5% 11.1% 5.0%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 97.7% 83.3% 40.5% 21.5% 10.5% 5.1%
3Michigan State (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 94.2% 61.9% 31.2% 9.8% 3.7% 1.3%
nate_silver 100.0% 91.2% 52.1% 25.4% 8.5% 3.2% 1.1%
vegas 100.0% 97.0% 93.5% 33.3% 12.5% 6.2% 2.4%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 92.7% 57.0% 28.3% 9.1% 3.4% 1.2%
3Virginia (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 93.0% 55.5% 19.6% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5%
nate_silver 100.0% 94.3% 54.7% 21.5% 8.3% 3.1% 1.2%
vegas 100.0% 98.6% 97.0% 55.6% 24.4% 3.2% 1.3%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 93.7% 55.1% 20.5% 7.2% 2.6% 0.9%
4Alabama (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 90.1% 64.4% 19.2% 8.1% 2.9% 0.9%
nate_silver 100.0% 90.0% 72.6% 27.0% 12.2% 4.8% 1.9%
vegas 100.0% 94.5% 88.2% 48.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.6%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 90.0% 68.5% 23.1% 10.1% 3.9% 1.4%
4Arkansas (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 91.6% 65.9% 18.7% 7.0% 2.2% 0.6%
nate_silver 100.0% 93.0% 49.7% 10.7% 4.6% 1.5% 0.5%
vegas 100.0% 97.0% 93.5% 18.2% 8.3% 3.2% 1.6%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 92.3% 57.8% 14.7% 5.8% 1.9% 0.5%
4Kansas (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 92.6% 58.3% 12.4% 5.1% 1.6% 0.5%
nate_silver 100.0% 88.1% 45.7% 14.6% 7.4% 2.7% 1.0%
vegas 100.0% 95.8% 90.9% 44.4% 6.2% 3.2% 1.6%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 90.3% 52.0% 13.5% 6.2% 2.2% 0.8%
4Nebraska (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 92.7% 58.9% 19.7% 6.2% 1.8% 0.6%
nate_silver 100.0% 91.4% 42.9% 13.3% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
vegas 100.0% 96.8% 93.1% 51.2% 8.3% 2.4% 1.0%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 92.1% 50.9% 16.5% 5.4% 1.7% 0.6%
5St. John's (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 81.0% 34.4% 18.1% 6.0% 2.4% 0.9%
nate_silver 100.0% 81.1% 46.8% 18.2% 10.5% 4.5% 1.7%
vegas 100.0% 91.4% 82.0% 17.4% 10.0% 4.8% 1.6%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 81.0% 40.6% 18.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.3%
5Texas Tech (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 76.3% 28.6% 7.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
nate_silver 100.0% 63.4% 16.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 89.6% 78.3% 48.8% 5.6% 2.8% 0.8%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 69.9% 22.7% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
5Vanderbilt (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 81.2% 36.9% 13.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.6%
nate_silver 100.0% 84.0% 51.4% 19.8% 8.0% 3.5% 1.4%
vegas 100.0% 93.8% 86.7% 48.8% 8.3% 3.2% 1.3%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 82.6% 44.2% 16.9% 6.5% 2.6% 1.0%
5Wisconsin (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 78.5% 38.6% 16.8% 6.5% 2.6% 0.9%
nate_silver 100.0% 78.6% 43.5% 10.7% 4.9% 1.9% 0.7%
vegas 100.0% 94.8% 88.9% 47.6% 6.2% 2.8% 1.2%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 78.5% 41.1% 13.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.8%
6BYU (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 61.5% 11.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 46.9% 12.0% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 97.0% 93.5% 19.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 54.2% 11.6% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
6Louisville (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 63.3% 16.7% 6.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
nate_silver 100.0% 69.2% 35.9% 18.2% 6.6% 2.8% 1.1%
vegas 100.0% 86.6% 72.6% 40.0% 7.1% 3.4% 0.9%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 66.2% 26.3% 12.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6%
6North Carolina (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 53.2% 7.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 45.6% 7.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 78.7% 58.7% 14.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.4%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 49.4% 7.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
6Tennessee (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 55.1% 8.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 81.0% 39.8% 15.4% 5.8% 2.1% 0.8%
vegas 100.0% 97.0% 93.5% 43.5% 7.1% 2.4% 0.8%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 68.0% 24.3% 8.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4%
7Kentucky (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 49.4% 7.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 65.8% 20.0% 9.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
vegas 100.0% 79.3% 59.7% 15.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 57.6% 13.5% 6.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
7Miami (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 44.9% 6.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 53.7% 13.8% 5.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
vegas 100.0% 77.9% 57.4% 20.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.2%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 49.3% 10.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
7Saint Mary's (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 38.5% 4.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 58.8% 16.0% 5.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
vegas 100.0% 78.7% 58.7% 21.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 48.6% 10.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
7UCLA (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 46.8% 6.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 70.6% 29.8% 14.0% 4.2% 1.3% 0.4%
vegas 100.0% 85.7% 71.0% 33.3% 4.3% 1.8% 0.7%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 58.7% 17.9% 7.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
8Clemson (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 50.6% 7.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 34.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 70.1% 45.5% 11.8% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 42.7% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
8Georgia (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 48.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 57.4% 11.5% 4.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
vegas 100.0% 78.7% 58.7% 10.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 52.9% 8.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
8Ohio State (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 49.1% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 68.2% 18.8% 9.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.7%
vegas 100.0% 79.3% 59.7% 15.4% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 58.7% 11.8% 5.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.4%
8Villanova (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 51.6% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 33.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 71.0% 46.7% 9.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.4%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 42.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
9Iowa (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 18.5% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 65.2% 11.1% 4.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
vegas 100.0% 78.7% 58.7% 12.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.3%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 41.9% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
9Saint Louis (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 27.8% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 42.6% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 70.1% 45.5% 6.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 35.2% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
9TCU (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 50.9% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 31.8% 5.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 69.6% 44.6% 5.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 41.3% 5.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
9Utah State (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 34.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 66.1% 7.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
vegas 100.0% 77.9% 57.4% 9.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 50.4% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
10Missouri (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 19.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 46.3% 11.1% 3.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 71.0% 46.7% 9.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 32.7% 7.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
10Santa Clara (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 18.2% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 34.2% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 69.6% 44.6% 11.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 26.2% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
10Texas A&M (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 23.7% 4.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 41.2% 8.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 70.1% 45.5% 10.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.3%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 32.5% 6.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
10UCF (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 27.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 29.4% 7.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 61.0% 33.3% 6.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 28.6% 5.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
11SMU/Miami Ohio (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 100.0% 41.9% 20.4% 6.7% 2.6% 0.9%
nate_silver 100.0% 19.0% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
vegas 200.0% 142.8% 104.2% 10.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 59.5% 23.4% 10.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.5%
11South Florida (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 18.9% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 30.8% 10.6% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 59.7% 31.7% 7.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 24.9% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
11Texas (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 100.0% 21.7% 9.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.3%
nate_silver 100.0% 53.1% 15.1% 4.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
vegas 200.0% 149.5% 104.7% 15.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.5%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 76.5% 18.4% 7.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2%
11VCU (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 18.8% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 54.4% 9.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 70.1% 45.5% 11.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 36.6% 6.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
12Akron (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 9.9% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 36.6% 6.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 54.5% 26.0% 4.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 23.2% 4.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
12High Point (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 18.1% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 21.4% 5.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 43.1% 15.4% 2.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 19.8% 4.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
12McNeese (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 7.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 16.0% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 45.7% 17.5% 5.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 11.7% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
12Northern Iowa (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 15.0% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 18.9% 5.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 50.8% 22.2% 7.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 17.0% 3.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
13Cal Baptist (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 7.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 12.0% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 40.4% 13.3% 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 9.7% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
13Hawaii (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 8.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 7.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 36.3% 10.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 7.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
13Hofstra (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 9.9% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 10.0% 3.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 43.8% 16.0% 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 10.0% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
13Troy (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 7.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 8.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 37.2% 11.1% 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 7.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14Kennesaw State (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 26.6% 5.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14North Dakota State (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 5.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 8.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 36.3% 10.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 7.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14Penn (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 21.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14Wright State (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 7.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 5.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 29.6% 6.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 6.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15Furman (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 10.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 24.4% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 7.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15Idaho (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 23.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15Queens (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 24.4% 4.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15Tennessee State (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 24.4% 4.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16Howard (Midwest) espn_bpi 100.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 200.0% 149.0% 104.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16LIU (West) espn_bpi 100.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 21.3% 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16Prairie View A&M/Lehigh (South) espn_bpi 100.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 200.0% 148.9% 104.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16Siena (East) espn_bpi 100.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
nate_silver 100.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
vegas 100.0% 19.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Weighted Avg 100.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Upload CSV
Supports .csv and .xlsx. Columns: team, round_of_64, round_of_32, sweet_16, elite_8, final_4, championship, win_tournament
Cached Data Files
SourceFileSizeActions
espn bpi espn_bpi.csv 4.1 KB
nate silver nate_silver.csv 6.2 KB
vegas vegas.csv 4.0 KB
Manual Entry
Team R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 NCG Win
(1) Arizona
(1) Duke
(1) Florida
(1) Michigan
(2) Houston
(2) Iowa State
(2) Purdue
(2) UConn
(3) Gonzaga
(3) Illinois
(3) Michigan State
(3) Virginia
(4) Alabama
(4) Arkansas
(4) Kansas
(4) Nebraska
(5) St. John's
(5) Texas Tech
(5) Vanderbilt
(5) Wisconsin
(6) BYU
(6) Louisville
(6) North Carolina
(6) Tennessee
(7) Kentucky
(7) Miami
(7) Saint Mary's
(7) UCLA
(8) Clemson
(8) Georgia
(8) Ohio State
(8) Villanova
(9) Iowa
(9) Saint Louis
(9) TCU
(9) Utah State
(10) Missouri
(10) Santa Clara
(10) Texas A&M
(10) UCF
(11) SMU/Miami Ohio
(11) South Florida
(11) Texas
(11) VCU
(12) Akron
(12) High Point
(12) McNeese
(12) Northern Iowa
(13) Cal Baptist
(13) Hawaii
(13) Hofstra
(13) Troy
(14) Kennesaw State
(14) North Dakota State
(14) Penn
(14) Wright State
(15) Furman
(15) Idaho
(15) Queens
(15) Tennessee State
(16) Howard
(16) LIU
(16) Prairie View A&M/Lehigh
(16) Siena

Adjust how much each source contributes to the aggregated probabilities.

0.0
1.0
1.0